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Atlanta Fed Index

.

. "0" . 10- 14:00 (GMT). , (NAPM index). .

Average Earnings Growth /

( , , ""). , , , . , . . .

Average Hourly Earnings /

. , . . . , , 13:30 (GMT) "Nonfarm payrolls".

Average Workweek /

. , , 13:30 (GMT) "Nonfarm payrolls". . . "" . "Industrial production" ( ) "Personal income" ( ), .

Balance of Payments (Current Account) /

, - , , . , ( ), - ( ). ( ) . . .

Balance of trade /

, . . .

Beige Book

- . , - . . , , , , , . . , , . . 8 , , (FOMC) 19:00 (GMT).

Budget Deficit - Public sector borrowing requirement - PSBR /

. . , . - ( , - , ..), . , - . , . , , , - . ( ) . , , ( ). , - ( - ). . - , . . . .

Building Permits /

. , . , , . . , . . . 13:30 (GMT) "Housing starts".

Business Inventories /

. , , . 13:30 (GMT) 15- . : . . . .

Capacity Utilisation /

. . . 81.5%. , 81.5%, , . : 14:15 (GMT), 15- ( ).

CBI Distributive Trades

( ) . . . : 14:15 (GMT), 15- ( ).

CBI Industrial Trends /

( ) . . . . Chain Store Sales . : 15:00 (GMT), 5- ( ).

Chicago PMI Index /

. , . "45-50" . , (NAPM). , , (NAPM). . - 15:00 (GMT).

Construction Spending /

, , . - , 3- . . 15:00 (GMT), 1- . , . , , . . .

Consumer Confidence /

() . , . 2 - (60% ). : 15:00 (GMT), ( ). . 1967 . "100". , . . .

Consumer Credit /

, . . , " " . . , . . . 7- 20:00 (GMT).

Consumer Price Index - CPI /

, . , ( , , , , ..). . " " , (Core) CPI, . . (RPI -Retail price index). -0.5% +0.5%. , 0.2 , . : 15:30 (GMT), 13- ( ).

CPI . . , 1993 - 1995 ; 100. 171.8 , 71.8% , . , 2 CPU: CPU-U CPU-W. CPU-U, 80% . . , , CPU-W. Pi (0) - i- () ( ), a Pi (t) - t (), wi - , ( 1), I = wi Pi (t) / Pi (0)

(Bureau of Labor Statistics) . 85 . , BLS 10 . , CPI , , . , . 0.5 - 1.5%. . , , , . , , 19000 57000 80% . 44,1% , 55,9% - . , ( , ), CoreCPI, (CPI EX FOOD&ENERGY).

CPI -:

  • () , ( foods&energy 50%), ( foods&energy 6%);
  • 6 - 9 ;
  • , .

.

Consumer Sentiment Index /

, . , . . , , (Index of Leading Economic Indicatiors). , (Commerce Department), , . University of Michigan Sentiment Index 500 . 5 , (2 ) (3 ) . , , , , , 100. 2 , 3- - . , 60% . : ( ) 15 (), (). 15:00 (GMT). .

Dow Jones Industrial Average / -

. 30 , - . "" . () .

Durable Goods Orders - DGO / . , . , . . .., . : 13:30 (GMT), 26- ( ). DGO : , , DGO . DGO 6 - 8 . (U.S. Census Bureau) (Department of Commerce) 5000 . , - .

Employment Cost Index /

. . , ( ). . - . , 20- 13:30 (GMT).

Existing and New Home Sales /

, , , . . : 15:00 (GMT), 25- ( ). ( ) . , , . . . . . , , . , , . "New home sales" " " (moving average).

Export Prices /

. . . . 10- 13:30 (GMT) "Import prices".

Factory Orders - Manufacturing Orders /

: . , , . : 15:00 (GMT), ( 2 ).

Federal Budget /

. (). (). . . : (PPI), (CPI), (M1, M2, M3) . 20- 19:00 (GMT).

Gross Domestic Product - GD / ()

, , , , . ( ; () ). : 13:30 (GMT), 3 4 ( , ) , . GDP 4 : (C, Consumption), (I, Investments), (G, Goverment purchases) , .. (X-M, eXport - iMport): GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)

(C) 3 : ( 3 ) (durable goods - , ), ( 3 ) (nondurable goods - , , ...) (services). durable goods 15%, nondurables - 31%, services - 54% ( ). C , , 56% , , . (I) 14% , (G) - , , .. - 17%, , , (X - M) - 13%. , , , (.. X - M ).

GDP , , . . , () . , , . - 1999 . ( ), ( , Real GDP). (Implicit Price Deflator), . , (Gross National Product, GNP), , , , .

GDP Advance / () -

, . : advance - provisional (revised) - final. , 20- 13:30 (GMT).

GDP Deflator /

- (I) . , I, , , , . . . . . . .

GDP Final / () -

" " (provisional). . . "GDP provisional" 20- 13:30 (GMT). GDP Provisional (Revised) / () - . () " " (advance). "GDP advance" 20- 13:30 (GMT).

Global trade, Non-EU trade balance /

, . , , . , - . . .

Help-wanted index /

. 1987 , "100". " " (moving average). , . . . , . , , 15:00 (GMT).

Housing Starts and Permits /

- , . - . - . , . : 13:30 (GMT) 16- ( ). II . ( ) 17% ( ) 40% (!) - ( ). , . c , , . , (, ) , , . (Bureau of the Census) (Department of Commerce). 19000 , , , . (Index of Leading Economic Indicators).

Humphrey-Hawkins testimony

(Federal Reserve) . : . (The Senate House) . . . . .

IFO survey / IFO

. 80 120, 100 1991 . . .

Import Prices /

. . (CPI) , "" . . . 10- 13:30 (GMT) "Export prices".

Industrial Output /

(manufacturing output), , , . . , 60% . . .

Industrial Production /

, , .. . : 14:15 (GMT), 15- ( ). 40% . . , , . (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) 1992 . . , 255 . 1992 ., 84.6% , 7.3%, 8.1%. FED - (production diffusion index), ( 255), . IP . (1948 -1992 ..), 0.8% , recovery 0.9% (expansion) 0.4%. (Capacity Utilization, CAPU) ( ) . , , . , CAPU 81.5%; . , CAPU > 85% , ; CAPU ( ). CAPU . , recession ( 80.3%), recovery ( 78.8%), . expansion CAPU = 84% 85.4% ( 89.2%).

Industrial Production Index /

. . . . .

Inflation /

: (CPI) (RI). , , ; - , , , ( ). . , - , . , , , . - . - , , .

. , , , , . , . , , , , . p> , -, . , , . . , , , . , . , , , , , , , .

Interest Rates /

, . (Interest Rate Differential), , - , , , , . ( ), , . , , . , ; , , .

: , . , . -, , , , ( ), . , , , , . , , FOREX, - .

-, , . , , . , . , , , , , , . , ( ).

International Trade (Trade balance) /

, , , . .. . , ( ), - ( ). ( ) . . ( ) 13:30 (GMT).

Jobless Claims (Initial Claims) /

13:30 (GMT) ( , ). . , . , "Nonfarm payrolls". , "Jobless claims" , , "Nonfarm payrolls" . . .

Leading and Coincident Indices of Business Conditions /

13- . . 11 ( 50% ""). . .

Leading Economic Indicators - LEI /

LEI 10 , . , LEI . , 3 LEI . , -0.5%, -1% -0.7% . , , : , 1952 1998 LEI "" 10 , 7. , LEI , . 10 1-2 .

LEI ,

  • .
  • .
  • ( 1982 ).
  • ( , ).
  • ( 1982 ).
  • .
  • ( , 1982 ).
  • .
  • S&P500 ().
  • 2 1982 .

(University of Michigan's Consumer Expectations Index). , . , ; , , . , : , , , , , , , . LEI , .

Machinery Orders /

. 300 . . .

Manufacturing Orders (GER)

. . . .

Manufacturing Output / , ,

. , 20%. .

Manufacturing Production

, . . .

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index /

. . : ( ) 15 (), (). 15:00 (GMT). - , . . .

Money supply /

, 0 = , 1= 0+ , 2= 1+ , 100.000 . . = 2+ , 100.000 . , 4 = . : 09:30 (GMT) ( , ). , , . , , ;

, (Money Supply), , . . , , , . , , (Monetary Aggregates), , ( ). - , . , , , , :

  • M0 - ;
  • Ml - , , , , ;
  • 2 = Ml + , , , , ;
  • M3 = 2 + , , .

4 , , , . 4 . , , , , , 2, . . : . M2, , . ; M2 () .

Money Supply M3 / 3 ( )

, , 4- . . ( ), , . . .

Money Supply M4 / 4 ( )

. , , , . 4 . . .

NAPM index (National Association of Purchasing Managers' index) /

. , , , . "45-50" . , . . , . - 15:00 (GMT). . .

NAPM Services Index (National Association of Purchasing Managers' services index)

, . "45-50" . , . , . . 15:00 (GMT) (NAPM index). . .

NASDAQ Index /

, , . NASDAQ, 3500 ( ). , . 1971 .

Net Consumer Credit /

"" , , . . .

New Home Sales

, , . , , . , , . "New home sales" " " (moving average). . . 17:00 (GMT).

Nonfarm Payrolls

, . Payroll - , . , . . ", ". , 200 000 3.0%. , , 13:30 (GMT).

Payment Deficit /

, . , , , . , , , . (Balance of Payments) , : , , ( .), . , , , . , , , . - .

Payroll Employment - PE /

(Department of Labor), " (Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS)" Establishment survey - , , .. Household survey - . , payroll employment statistics - , , . , , . . , , " ". . -, , . -, . , , . "" "" , , payrolls. .

Personal Income /

, , , , .. . Personal Spending. . : 13:30 (GMT), ( 2 ).

Personal Spending - Personal Consumption /

. . 20- 13:30 (GMT) "Personal income". : , . "Retail sales" ( ). , , , . , . .

Philadelphia Fed Index /

. "0" . 15:00 (GMT). . , "NAPM", , . .

Producer Price Index - PPI /

, ; , . , . . (core) - . : 13:30 (GMT), 11- ( ). PPI : , - 40%, - 23%, , . - 14%. 23% , (, , , ). , , (, ). , . PPI :

  • , CPI (food& energy 36%, CPI 23%);
  • , , CPI;
  • PPI ( ) 3 - 6 , 9 ;
  • , PPI CPI , .
Producer Input Prices (PPI Input) / " "

( " " , ). . , , , ( ). . .

Producer Output Prices (PPI Output) / " "

. . ( " " , ). , , , ( ). . .

Productivity and Costs /

: 13:30 (GMT), 7- ( ). . , . . . , . , . . . , 10 .

Purchasing Managers Index /

, , . , . , , ( PMI) , , ; , . TANKAN .

, - ,

, , .., , - ( ) . - - , . , " : , , , , .."; : "", "", " ". DI = (% "") + 0.5 *(% " "); , , PMI TANKAN. , : - (expansion) (recession), a (recovery). , , ( ). , , 1991 . PMI 1998 , 350 : (output), (new orders), (employment), (supplier's delivery times), (stocks of goods purchases). 1999 PMI -, 11 (EU PMI). ( 34 000 ) PMI NAPM (National Association of Purchasing Managers), 1931 ; , , 300 . Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), NAPM. NAPN PMI, , - ( "higher"), ("lower"), ("unchanged") :

  • (employment);
  • (commodity prices);
  • (vendor deliveries);
  • (production);
  • (inventories);
  • (new orders from customers);
  • (new export and import orders);
  • (order backlogs, 1993 .).

( "higher unchanged), , PMI; 1994 PMI : PMI = 0.30 DI(new orders) + 0.25 DI(production) + 0,20 DI(employment) + + 0.15 DI(deliveries) + 0.10 DI(inventories)

PMI - . :

  • ;
  • 50% - ;
  • 44% - .

PMI , . , PMI, , , . 40- , PMI 7 - 3 . PMI 50 , 44 . , PMI , 35, 4 44, . , PMI ( ), ( , 82% , - ). PMI . , 1980-1992 .. , PMI (IP - industrial production) : IP = 0.52 PMI[-2] - 23.4; , , PMI = 45.9 (1=0). PMI : GDP = 0.317 PMI[-1] - 13.9. , Dl(prices) . , , [0.100]. , , , NPR (net percentage rising), "higher lower, DI NPR = 2 (DI - 50). PMI . - TANKAN - . , , , - , , . TANKAN . Real Earnings (Real Average Weekly Earnings) / . ( ). , 1982 . . , . . . , , 13:30 (GMT) "CPI" ( ).

Redbook Index / ""

. 15:30 (GMT). ( ) , .. , ( ). . , () , .

Retail Price Index (RPI) /

"" . (RPI-X). , , , (HICP). , . . .

Retail Sales (UK) / UK

. , . , . , , . . .

Retail Sales (JPN) / JPN

. . . . .

Retail Sales (US) / US

. - ; , . , . , , . : " " " ". , , " ". . ( , - ). . , . :13:30 (GMT), 13- ( ). RS - . , .. ( C) : GDP = C + I + G + X - M, C 2/3 . , , , . 40% . 2 RS: -, , ; -, , , . (Department of Commerce), " (U.S. Census Bureau)", . S&P 500 / " ". " ". - 500 100 . S&P - 500 500 , : 400 , 20 , 40 40 . , - , , . 80% , - . -, , , . . Tankan report , .
8000 , :

  • ;
  • ;
  • , ;
  • ;
  • ;
  • ;
  • .

Tankan . , , , PMI .

Trade Balance /

, . (U.S. Census Bureau). : , - . : . .

(Merchandise Trade Balance, ) . , , . , , ( ) , . ( - ) ; . , , . , . , - , . , . 1999 , , . , 3- 13:30 (GMT). - , , . ( , , , , , ) . , . : - , ..

- Plaza Accord, -, 1985 . . - . , . ( ) : 1990- , 1993, . , , . . , . , , , , .

, . , , , . ( ). , . , , , ( ), . , . , , , . , .

Unemployment rate /

(Department of Labor), " (Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS)" Household survey - . 60 000 . , - .. . , 100, unemployment rate. , , " ". . -, , . -, . , , . ( ), , . . .. . 3 7 ; - . , (" ") . - , . - . , .

Unit Labour Cost /

, . , . . , . , "Productivity" ( ). , . , 10- 13:30 (GMT), "Productivity".

Unit Wage Costs /

, . . .

Wholesale Inventories /

. , , . "" . . . 10- 15:00 (GMT).

Wholesale Price Index (WPI) /

. : , . WPI , CPI, -. .